Expect excessive rainfall, flooding and storm surge along the Central Louisiana Coastline on Wednesday. 

Based on the latest storm model Tropical Storm Francine is expected to make landfall around 7 p.m. Wednesday as a hurricane. National Weather Service Meteorologist Donald Jones warned that could change.

“Stay updated on the actual storm track, because it will change. “It’s a very fluid situation,” Jones said late Monday morning. 

The NWS will issue an update at 4 p.m. 

During the 10:45 a.m. briefing, Jones said Southwest Louisiana might catch a reprieve from heavy tornadoes, which usually occur on the right side of the storm track. 

“They may be limited to the far eastern side of the forecast area.” 

The NWS issued a storm surge watch (5 to 10 feet) and a hurricane watch for east Cameron, lower Iberia, lower St. Mary, lower Vermilion and upper St. Mary parishes. 

Lower Jefferson and West Cameron face a storm surge watch (3 to 5 feet) and Tropical Storm Watch. 

Excessive rainfall and flooding to Central and Southern Louisiana and Southeast Texas is expected. 

“Peak storm surge forecast is five to ten feet in Port Fourchon and three to five feet from Cameron to High Island,” Jones said. 

It is possible that Francine could come in at a higher category because of average historical errors as far as intensity goes. The National Weather Service said that there is only a 30 percent chance of rapid intensification.

“We can’t rule out anything at this point,” Joe Rua, NWS, added.